Leandro N. Alem 29%Draw 24%Mercedes 47%Expected goals 0.92 – 1.26
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 50% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMercedes to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.38
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leandro N. Alem welcome Mercedes for a Primera C fixture on Sunday 20 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Leandro N. Alem are 13th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Mercedes are 5th (upper half) with 47. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Leandro N. Alem, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Muñiz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Mercedes, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Español, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mercedes, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Leandro N. Alem.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leandro N. Alem 0.9 xG, Mercedes 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leandro N. Alem 29%, draw 24%, Mercedes 47%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Mercedes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leandro N. Alem29%fair 3.43 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Mercedes47%fair 2.15 · @2.10
2.18Expected goals
0.92Leandro N. Alem xG
1.26Mercedes xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Leandro N. Alem 0.9 – 1.3 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mercedes to win✓
47%
2.15
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.38 ▲
Draw no bet
Mercedes (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Leandro N. Alem +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.04
First team to score
Mercedes to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mercedes / FT Mercedes✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
Leandro N. Alem – last 6
DLLLLL
12 Sep
@ Deportivo Muñiz
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Paraguayo
1–4
L
30 Aug
vs Puerto Nuevo
0–3
L
25 Aug
vs Juventud Unida
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Lugano
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Central Ballester
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 6
DLLWLL
10 Sep
vs Deportivo Español
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Juventud Unida
1–4
L
22 Aug
vs Sacachispas
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Claypole
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Argentino Rosario
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leandro N. Alem and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Leandro N. Alem have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mercedes 47%.
How many goals will there be in Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes?
Leandro N. Alem vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
