Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Leones de Rosario to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeones de Rosario to win ✓42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones de Rosario travel to face Sportivo Barracas on Monday 5 October in the Primera C – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sportivo Barracas are 7th, upper half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Leones de Rosario are 4th (among the top four) with 51.
Current form
Sportivo Barracas, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Atlas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Leones de Rosario, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lujan, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Leones de Rosario, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Sportivo Barracas.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Leones de Rosario 2–0 Sportivo Barracas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Barracas 0.9 xG, Leones de Rosario 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Barracas 33%, draw 25%, Leones de Rosario 42%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Leones de Rosario to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Barracas 0–1 Leones de Rosario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Barracas33%fair 3.02 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75
Leones de Rosario42%fair 2.40 · @2.55
1.97Expected goals
0.90Sportivo Barracas xG
1.06Leones de Rosario xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sportivo Barracas 0.9 – 1.1 Leones de Rosario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
On our numbers Sportivo Barracas have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones de Rosario 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Barracas 0–1 Leones de Rosario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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