Brazil 43%Draw 32%France 24%Expected goals 2.08 – 1.35
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBrazil to win ✗43% · @2.36
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✗76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Brazil vs France: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 26 March the Friendlies brings Brazil against France at Gillette Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brazil 2.1 xG, France 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brazil 43%, draw 32%, France 24%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brazil 2–1 France. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brazil43%fair 2.31 · @2.36
Draw32%fair 3.09 · @3.50
France24%fair 4.10 · @2.76
3.43Expected goals
2.08Brazil xG
1.35France xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Brazil 2.1 – 1.4 France expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Brazil
France
Attack vs Friendlies average
+50%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-2%
Our expected goals here
2.52
1.28
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil to win✗
43%
2.31
2.36
Double chance
Brazil or draw✗
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Draw no bet
Brazil (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
France +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
First team to score
Brazil to score first✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Brazil ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil / FT Brazil✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Brazil
No recent results on record.
France
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brazil and France.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Brazil vs France?
On our numbers Brazil have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 32% and France 24%.
How many goals will there be in Brazil vs France?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs France?
Our predicted score is Brazil 2–1 France, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Brazil vs France?
Brazil vs France (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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