Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGermany to win ✓71% · @1.19
Double chanceGermany or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.66
Germany vs Ghana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Monday 30 March: Germany v Ghana in the Friendlies, played at MHPArena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Germany 3.0 xG, Ghana 1.3 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Germany 71%, draw 18%, Ghana 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.38 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germany 3–1 Ghana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Germany71%fair 1.41 · @1.19
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @6.40
Ghana11%fair 8.70 · @13.50
4.35Expected goals
3.03Germany xG
1.32Ghana xG
55%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
3–06%
4–16%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Germany 3.0 – 1.3 Ghana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Germany
Ghana
Attack vs Friendlies average
+23%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+10%
Our expected goals here
2.31
1.04
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germany to win✓
71%
1.41
1.19
Double chance
Germany or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Germany (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Germany -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.35
First team to score
Germany to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Germany ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germany / FT Germany✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.66
–
Recent results
Germany – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ Switzerland
4–3
W
4.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ghana – last 1
L
27 Mar
@ Austria
1–5
L
1.0Scored / game
5.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germany and Ghana.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Germany vs Ghana?
On our numbers Germany have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ghana 11%.
How many goals will there be in Germany vs Ghana?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germany vs Ghana?
Our predicted score is Germany 3–1 Ghana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Germany vs Ghana?
Germany vs Ghana (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at MHPArena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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