Cyprus vs Moldova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Moldova travel to face Cyprus on Monday 30 March in the Friendlies, with GSP Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cyprus 1.6 xG, Moldova 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cyprus 58%, draw 25%, Moldova 18%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cyprus 1–0 Moldova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cyprus58%fair 1.73 · @1.64
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.60
Moldova18%fair 5.70 · @4.75
2.44Expected goals
1.60Cyprus xG
0.84Moldova xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cyprus 1.6 – 0.8 Moldova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cyprus
Moldova
Attack vs Friendlies average
+1%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.86
1.11
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cyprus to win✓
58%
1.73
1.64
Double chance
Cyprus or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Cyprus (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Moldova +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Cyprus to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cyprus / FT Cyprus✓
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Cyprus – last 1
L
26 Mar
vs Belarus
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Moldova – last 1
L
26 Mar
vs Lithuania
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cyprus and Moldova.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cyprus vs Moldova?
On our numbers Cyprus have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Moldova 18%.
How many goals will there be in Cyprus vs Moldova?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cyprus vs Moldova?
Our predicted score is Cyprus 1–0 Moldova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cyprus vs Moldova?
Cyprus vs Moldova (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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