Monte Azul 37%Draw 23%Oeste 40%Expected goals 1.14 – 1.21
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Oeste to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOeste to win ✗40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.65
Monte Azul vs Oeste: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monte Azul welcome Oeste for a Paulista A2 fixture on Wednesday 18 February (19:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monte Azul 1.1 xG, Oeste 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monte Azul 37%, draw 23%, Oeste 40%.
Price worth noting: Oeste to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monte Azul 1–1 Oeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monte Azul37%fair 2.73 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Oeste40%fair 2.50 · @3.10
2.35Expected goals
1.14Monte Azul xG
1.21Oeste xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Monte Azul 1.1 – 1.2 Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oeste to win✗
40%
2.50
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Oeste (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Monte Azul +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Oeste to score first✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oeste / FT Oeste✗
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.65
–
Recent results
Monte Azul
No recent results on record.
Oeste
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monte Azul and Oeste.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Monte Azul vs Oeste?
On our numbers Monte Azul have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oeste 40%.
How many goals will there be in Monte Azul vs Oeste?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monte Azul vs Oeste?
Our predicted score is Monte Azul 1–1 Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Monte Azul vs Oeste?
Monte Azul vs Oeste (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
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Sao Bento1