Ituano 39%Draw 28%Água Santa 33%Expected goals 1.10 – 1.03
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultItuano to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63
Ituano vs Água Santa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Água Santa travel to face Ituano on Wednesday 18 February in the Paulista A2 – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ituano 1.1 xG, Água Santa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ituano 39%, draw 28%, Água Santa 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituano 1–1 Água Santa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ituano39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.10
Água Santa33%fair 3.03 · @3.00
2.13Expected goals
1.10Ituano xG
1.03Água Santa xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.1 – 1.0 Água Santa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano to win✗
39%
2.56
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Ituano (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Água Santa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Ituano to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano / FT Ituano✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.63
–
Recent results
Ituano
No recent results on record.
Água Santa – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ São José EC
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Água Santa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ituano vs Água Santa?
On our numbers Ituano have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Água Santa 33%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Água Santa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Água Santa?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–1 Água Santa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Água Santa?
Ituano vs Água Santa (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Monte Azul1
Oeste1
Sertãozinho1
Juventus0
Grêmio Prudente0
Inter De Limeira0
Linense0
XV de Piracicaba1
Votuporanguense3
Sao Bento1