Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEC São Bernardo to win ✗37% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.32
EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Portuguesa Santista travel to face EC São Bernardo on Sunday 15 March in the Paulista A3 – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
EC São Bernardo, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bandeirante SP, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Portuguesa Santista, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rio Preto, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Portuguesa Santista, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for EC São Bernardo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give EC São Bernardo 1.3 xG, Portuguesa Santista 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – EC São Bernardo 37%, draw 27%, Portuguesa Santista 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.99.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.99 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: EC São Bernardo 1–1 Portuguesa Santista. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
EC São Bernardo37%fair 2.70 · @2.54
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.96
Portuguesa Santista36%fair 2.76 · @2.62
2.48Expected goals
1.26EC São Bernardo xG
1.21Portuguesa Santista xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: EC São Bernardo 1.3 – 1.2 Portuguesa Santista expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EC São Bernardo to win✗
37%
2.70
2.54
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.99 ▲
Draw no bet
EC São Bernardo (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Portuguesa Santista +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.43
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
EC São Bernardo to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EC São Bernardo / FT EC São Bernardo✗
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
EC São Bernardo – last 6
DWWLLW
12 Mar
@ Bandeirante SP
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Itapirense
3–0
W
4 Mar
vs Rio Branco SP
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Rio Claro
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Uniao Barbarense
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Paulista
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portuguesa Santista – last 6
WWLWWW
12 Mar
vs Rio Preto
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Francana
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ União São João
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Catanduva
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ XV de Jau
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Itapirense
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EC São Bernardo and Portuguesa Santista.
What is the prediction for EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista?
On our numbers EC São Bernardo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Portuguesa Santista 36%.
How many goals will there be in EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista?
Our predicted score is EC São Bernardo 1–1 Portuguesa Santista, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista?
EC São Bernardo vs Portuguesa Santista (Paulista A3) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Francana3
Rio Claro0
Bandeirante SP0
Catanduva0