Value bet: Francana to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRio Claro to win ✗39% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.95
Francana vs Rio Claro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Francana v Rio Claro in the Paulista A3.
Current form
Francana, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to União São João, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Rio Claro, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to XV de Jau, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rio Claro, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Francana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Francana 1.3 xG, Rio Claro 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Francana 35%, draw 26%, Rio Claro 39%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.82.
Price worth noting: Francana to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Francana 1–1 Rio Claro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Francana35%fair 2.85 · @3.15
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.18
Rio Claro39%fair 2.54 · @2.08
2.52Expected goals
1.31Francana xG
1.21Rio Claro xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Francana 1.3 – 1.2 Rio Claro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rio Claro to win✗
39%
2.54
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.82
Draw no bet
Rio Claro (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Rio Claro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Francana to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Francana / FT Francana✓
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.95
–
Recent results
Francana – last 5
LLLDL
11 Mar
@ União São João
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Portuguesa Santista
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Rio Preto
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Paulista
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Rio Branco SP
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Rio Claro – last 6
LLDWDW
11 Mar
vs XV de Jau
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Bandeirante SP
2–3
L
4 Mar
@ Marília
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs EC São Bernardo
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Itapirense
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Desportivo Brasil
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Francana and Rio Claro.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Francana vs Rio Claro?
On our numbers Francana have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rio Claro 39%.
How many goals will there be in Francana vs Rio Claro?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Francana vs Rio Claro?
Our predicted score is Francana 1–1 Rio Claro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Francana vs Rio Claro?
Francana vs Rio Claro (Paulista A3) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
EC São Bernardo0
Portuguesa Santista3
Bandeirante SP0
Catanduva0