Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultComercial to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.52
Comercial vs Vocem: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Comercial welcome Vocem for a Paulista A4 fixture on Thursday 19 March (00:00 WAT).
Current form
Vocem, last 4: LDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tanabi, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Comercial 1.2 xG, Vocem 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Comercial 45%, draw 27%, Vocem 28%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comercial 1–0 Vocem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Comercial45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Vocem28%fair 3.58 · @3.45
2.13Expected goals
1.21Comercial xG
0.92Vocem xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Comercial 1.2 – 0.9 Vocem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Comercial to win✓
45%
2.21
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Comercial (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Vocem +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Comercial to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Comercial / FT Comercial✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.52
–
Recent results
Comercial – last 2
LW
4 Mar
@ São Caetano
1–2
L
25 Feb
@ Colorado Caieiras
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Vocem – last 4
LDDL
13 Mar
vs Tanabi
0–2
L
4 Mar
vs Jabaquara
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ Penapolense
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Inter de Bebedouro
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comercial and Vocem.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Comercial vs Vocem?
On our numbers Comercial have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Vocem 28%.
How many goals will there be in Comercial vs Vocem?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comercial vs Vocem?
Our predicted score is Comercial 1–0 Vocem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Comercial vs Vocem?
Comercial vs Vocem (Paulista A4) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
AEA2
Nacional SP3