Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultEC Lemense to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceEC Lemense or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.16
EC Lemense vs Joseense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Joseense travel to face EC Lemense on Wednesday 18 March in the Paulista A4 – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give EC Lemense 1.3 xG, Joseense 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – EC Lemense 57%, draw 22%, Joseense 21%.
Lower-risk option: EC Lemense or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: EC Lemense 1–0 Joseense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
EC Lemense57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @2.95
Joseense21%fair 4.81 · @4.40
1.90Expected goals
1.30EC Lemense xG
0.60Joseense xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–015%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: EC Lemense 1.3 – 0.6 Joseense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EC Lemense to win✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Double chance
EC Lemense or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.53
Draw no bet
EC Lemense (draw no bet)
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Joseense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
EC Lemense to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EC Lemense / FT EC Lemense✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.16
–
Recent results
EC Lemense – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Penapolense
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Nacional SP
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Joseense – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Colorado Caieiras
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs AEA
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EC Lemense and Joseense.
What is the prediction for EC Lemense vs Joseense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win EC Lemense vs Joseense?
On our numbers EC Lemense have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Joseense 21%.
How many goals will there be in EC Lemense vs Joseense?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EC Lemense vs Joseense?
Our predicted score is EC Lemense 1–0 Joseense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is EC Lemense vs Joseense?
EC Lemense vs Joseense (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.