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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Penapolense v Jabaquara: numbers & prediction

Paulista A4 · Brazil

Penapolense

DLDLW
3–2
FT

Jabaquara

LDL
Penapolense 65%Draw 23%Jabaquara 12% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.51
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPenapolense to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chancePenapolense or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.20

Penapolense vs Jabaquara: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Wednesday 18 March: Penapolense v Jabaquara in the Paulista A4.

Current form

Penapolense, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Inter de Bebedouro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Jabaquara, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ECUS, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Penapolense, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Jabaquara.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Penapolense 1.6 xG, Jabaquara 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Penapolense 65%, draw 23%, Jabaquara 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penapolense 1–0 Jabaquara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Penapolense65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.65
Jabaquara12%fair 8.43 · @7.80
2.13Expected goals
1.62Penapolense xG
0.51Jabaquara xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–016%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Penapolense 1.6 – 0.5 Jabaquara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPenapolense to win ✓65%1.531.44
Double chancePenapolense or draw ✓88%1.131.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.851.50
Draw no betPenapolense (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapPenapolense -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.251.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗93%1.07–
First team to scorePenapolense to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Penapolense / FT Penapolense ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.20–

Recent results

Penapolense – last 5

DLDLW
7 Marvs Inter de Bebedouro0–0D
4 Mar@ EC Lemense0–1L
28 Febvs Vocem0–0D
25 Feb@ Taquaritinga0–3L
14 Febvs ECUS2–1W
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Jabaquara – last 3

LDL
8 Mar@ ECUS0–1L
4 Mar@ Vocem2–2D
25 Febvs Barretos0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Penapolense and Jabaquara.

Penapolense vs Jabaquara head-to-head page →

More Paulista A4 predictions

FT Colorado Caieiras0 ECUS2 142%2.25X24%2.95234%3.10 0.9–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.45 ✓
FT Tanabi1 São Caetano2 140%2.45X24%2.95236%2.85 1.0–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.45 ✗
FT Taquaritinga1 Grêmio Sãocarlense0 142%2.50X23%3.10235%2.70 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✗
FT EC Lemense0 Joseense0 157%1.85X22%2.95221%4.40 1.3–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penapolense vs Jabaquara?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Penapolense vs Jabaquara?

On our numbers Penapolense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jabaquara 12%.

How many goals will there be in Penapolense vs Jabaquara?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penapolense vs Jabaquara?

Our predicted score is Penapolense 1–0 Jabaquara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Penapolense vs Jabaquara?

Penapolense vs Jabaquara (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.