Nacional SP 29%Draw 24%ECUS 47%Expected goals 0.79 – 1.13
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultECUS to win ✗47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Nacional SP vs ECUS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 25 March: Nacional SP v ECUS in the Paulista A4.
Current form
Nacional SP, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over AEA, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
ECUS, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Colorado Caieiras, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nacional SP 0.8 xG, ECUS 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional SP 29%, draw 24%, ECUS 47%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional SP 0–1 ECUS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nacional SP29%fair 3.47 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.95
ECUS47%fair 2.13 · @2.25
1.91Expected goals
0.79Nacional SP xG
1.13ECUS xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nacional SP 0.8 – 1.1 ECUS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ECUS to win✗
47%
2.13
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.57
Draw no bet
ECUS (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Nacional SP +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
ECUS to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ECUS / FT ECUS✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.02
–
Recent results
Nacional SP – last 3
WLL
19 Mar
@ AEA
3–2
W
4 Mar
vs Taquaritinga
0–4
L
25 Feb
vs EC Lemense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ECUS – last 5
WWLDL
18 Mar
@ Colorado Caieiras
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Jabaquara
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Tanabi
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ São Caetano
0–0
D
14 Feb
@ Penapolense
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional SP and ECUS.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Nacional SP vs ECUS?
On our numbers Nacional SP have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ECUS 47%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional SP vs ECUS?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional SP vs ECUS?
Our predicted score is Nacional SP 0–1 ECUS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Nacional SP vs ECUS?
Nacional SP vs ECUS (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Colorado Caieiras0
São Caetano4
Taquaritinga2
Tanabi1
EC Lemense0
Jabaquara0
Penapolense1
Barretos1