Value bet: JEF United Chiba to win @ 2.95 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultJEF United Chiba to win ✗38% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the J1 League brings Mito Hollyhock against JEF United Chiba at K's Denki Stadium Mito. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Mito Hollyhock are 9th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 18 matches; JEF United Chiba are 10th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mito Hollyhock 1.3 xG, JEF United Chiba 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mito Hollyhock 35%, draw 27%, JEF United Chiba 38%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: JEF United Chiba to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mito Hollyhock 1–1 JEF United Chiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mito Hollyhock35%fair 2.85 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.10
JEF United Chiba38%fair 2.66 · @2.95
2.61Expected goals
1.29Mito Hollyhock xG
1.32JEF United Chiba xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.3 – 1.3 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JEF United Chiba to win✗
38%
2.66
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
JEF United Chiba (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Mito Hollyhock +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
JEF United Chiba to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JEF United Chiba / FT JEF United Chiba✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Mito Hollyhock – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
JEF United Chiba
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and JEF United Chiba.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and JEF United Chiba 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 1–1 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba?
Mito Hollyhock vs JEF United Chiba (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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