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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerezo Osaka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Yodoko Sakura Stadium
Cerezo Osaka 23%Draw 24%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.78
77%
Betarazi pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓53% · @1.90
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.26

Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cerezo Osaka welcome Sanfrecce Hiroshima to Yodoko Sakura Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 22 February (07:00 WAT). In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (among the top four) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.1 xG, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 23%, draw 24%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (77%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerezo Osaka23%fair 4.38 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.50
Sanfrecce Hiroshima53%fair 1.88 · @1.90
2.90Expected goals
1.13Cerezo Osaka xG
1.78Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
2–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.1 – 1.8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓53%1.881.90
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.57
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapCerezo Osaka +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗32%3.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.26–

Recent results

Cerezo Osaka – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Avispa Fukuoka2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 2

DD
17 Feb@ FC Seoul2–2D
14 Febvs Fagiano Okayama1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%.

How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.