Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗69% · @1.50
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗89% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sanfrecce Hiroshima welcome Avispa Fukuoka to Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 5 April (06:00 WAT). In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (in the drop zone) with 21.
Current form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vissel Kobe, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to V-varen Nagasaki, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Avispa Fukuoka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.3 xG, Avispa Fukuoka 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 69%, draw 20%, Avispa Fukuoka 11%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.90
Avispa Fukuoka11%fair 8.92 · @7.00
3.03Expected goals
2.31Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.73Avispa Fukuoka xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.3 – 0.7 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✗
69%
1.45
1.50
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet)✗
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.10
First team to score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first✗
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
LLLWWL
27 Mar
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
11 Mar
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka – last 5
LLLLL
15 Mar
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–5
L
27 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Kyoto Sanga
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cerezo Osaka
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Avispa Fukuoka 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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