Sanfrecce Hiroshima v V-varen Nagasaki Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓67% · @1.48

Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓86% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 18 April the J1 League brings Sanfrecce Hiroshima against V-varen Nagasaki at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; V-varen Nagasaki are 9th (in the drop zone) with 21.

Current form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Avispa Fukuoka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Avispa Fukuoka, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.1 xG, V-varen Nagasaki 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 67%, draw 20%, V-varen Nagasaki 14%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima67%fair 1.50 · @1.48

Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.33

V-varen Nagasaki14%fair 7.27 · @6.00

2.92Expected goals

2.13Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

0.79V-varen Nagasaki xG

57%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%

1–011%

2–110%

1–19%

3–09%

3–17%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.1 – 0.8 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓	67%	1.50	1.48
Double chance	Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓	86%	1.16	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.75
Draw no bet	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓	83%	1.21	–
Asian handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.78	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.17
First team to score	Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✓	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✓	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✓	45%	2.24	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.34	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓

67%

1.50

1.48

Double chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓

86%

1.16

1.12

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

57%

1.76

1.75

Draw no bet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓

83%

1.21

–

Asian handicap

Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

68%

1.47

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

79%

1.27

1.20

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

56%

1.78

1.67

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

66%

1.52

1.45

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

82%

1.22

1.17

First team to score

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✓

69%

1.45

–

Half-time result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✓

49%

2.03

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✓

45%

2.24

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10%

10.34

–

Recent results

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and V-varen Nagasaki.

J1 League table

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	+4	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	+9	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	+2	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	+8	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	+6	28
6	Fagiano Okayama	18	8	10	-3	26
7	Shimizu S-pulse	18	8	10	-2	24
8	Kyoto Sanga	18	8	10	-6	23
9	V-varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	-8	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	-10	21

Team

Pts

-3

-2

-6

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and V-varen Nagasaki 14%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

5 Apr	vs Avispa Fukuoka	0–1	L
27 Mar	@ Vissel Kobe	1–2	L
22 Mar	@ Shimizu S-pulse	1–3	L
18 Mar	@ Nagoya Grampus	1–2	L
14 Mar	vs Gamba Osaka	2–0	W
11 Mar	vs Johor Darul Takzim FC	1–0	W

11 Apr	@ Avispa Fukuoka	0–1	L
5 Apr	vs Shimizu S-pulse	0–3	L
21 Mar	@ Fagiano Okayama	1–0	W
18 Mar	vs Kyoto Sanga	1–2	L
15 Mar	vs Avispa Fukuoka	1–0	W
8 Mar	@ Gamba Osaka	2–3	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v V-varen Nagasaki: numbers & prediction