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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerezo Osaka v Kyoto Sanga: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Yodoko Sakura Stadium

Cerezo Osaka

WLLWL
3–0
FT

Kyoto Sanga

WLWLL
Cerezo Osaka 43%Draw 25%Kyoto Sanga 33% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.24
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09

Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kyoto Sanga travel to face Cerezo Osaka on Saturday 18 April in the J1 League, with Yodoko Sakura Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:00 WAT. In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Kyoto Sanga are 8th (in the drop zone) with 23.

Current form

Cerezo Osaka, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gamba Osaka, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kyoto Sanga, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Fagiano Okayama, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kyoto Sanga, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Cerezo Osaka.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Kyoto Sanga 1–2 Cerezo Osaka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.5 xG, Kyoto Sanga 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 43%, draw 25%, Kyoto Sanga 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Kyoto Sanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerezo Osaka43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
Kyoto Sanga33%fair 3.08 · @2.95
2.75Expected goals
1.50Cerezo Osaka xG
1.24Kyoto Sanga xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.5 – 1.2 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerezo Osaka to win ✓43%2.332.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.53
Draw no betCerezo Osaka (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapKyoto Sanga +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.17
First team to scoreCerezo Osaka to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka ✓26%3.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.09–

Recent results

Cerezo Osaka – last 6

WLLWLL
11 Apr@ Gamba Osaka1–0W
4 Apr@ Nagoya Grampus0–3L
18 Marvs Fagiano Okayama1–2L
14 Mar@ Kyoto Sanga2–1W
28 Feb@ V-varen Nagasaki0–1L
22 Febvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kyoto Sanga – last 6

WLWLLW
11 Aprvs Fagiano Okayama5–1W
4 Apr@ Gamba Osaka0–2L
18 Mar@ V-varen Nagasaki2–1W
14 Marvs Cerezo Osaka1–2L
8 Mar@ Fagiano Okayama0–1L
27 Feb@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Kyoto Sanga v Cerezo Osaka1–2
Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT Yokohama F. Marinos1 Kawasaki Frontale2 140%2.62X24%3.55236%2.45 1.7–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Kashima1 Urawa0 157%1.95X23%3.50221%3.65 1.9–1.1xG 1XKashima or draw 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima2 V-varen Nagasaki0 167%1.48X20%4.33214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Tokyo Verdy1 JEF United Chiba0 142%2.25X28%3.10231%3.25 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?

On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kyoto Sanga 33%.

How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.