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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mito Hollyhock v Kashiwa Reysol: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · K's Denki Stadium Mito
2–0
FT
Mito Hollyhock 19%Draw 24%Kashiwa Reysol 58% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.89
81%
Betarazi pick

Kashiwa Reysol or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mito Hollyhock welcome Kashiwa Reysol to K's Denki Stadium Mito for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 19 April (05:00 WAT). In the table, Mito Hollyhock are 9th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 18 matches; Kashiwa Reysol are 8th (in the drop zone) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Mito Hollyhock, last 4: LWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Machida Zelvia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kashiwa Reysol, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mito Hollyhock.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Kashiwa Reysol 3–0 Mito Hollyhock.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mito Hollyhock 1.0 xG, Kashiwa Reysol 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mito Hollyhock 19%, draw 24%, Kashiwa Reysol 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (81%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kashiwa Reysol or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mito Hollyhock19%fair 5.31 · @4.40
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.45
Kashiwa Reysol58%fair 1.74 · @1.80
2.86Expected goals
0.96Mito Hollyhock xG
1.89Kashiwa Reysol xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%

From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.0 – 1.9 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗58%1.741.80
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✗81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.83
Draw no betKashiwa Reysol (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapMito Hollyhock +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.972.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.09
First team to scoreKashiwa Reysol to score first ✗62%1.60–
Half-time resultKashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Mito Hollyhock – last 4

LWLD
22 Mar@ Kashiwa Reysol0–3L
18 Marvs Yokohama F. Marinos1–0W
7 Mar@ Urawa0–2L
14 Feb@ Machida Zelvia2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kashiwa Reysol – last 6

LWWLLW
11 Apr@ Machida Zelvia0–1L
5 Aprvs Yokohama F. Marinos3–0W
22 Marvs Mito Hollyhock3–0W
14 Marvs Machida Zelvia0–1L
7 Mar@ JEF United Chiba1–2L
28 Feb@ FC Tokyo2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Kashiwa Reysol v Mito Hollyhock3–0
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our pick is Kashiwa Reysol or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol?

On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kashiwa Reysol 58%.

How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.