Nagoya Grampus 55%Draw 25%Avispa Fukuoka 20%Expected goals 1.77 – 0.97
80%
Betarazi pick
Nagoya Grampus or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✗55% · @1.90
Double chanceNagoya Grampus or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Nagoya Grampus v Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League, played at Nagoya Mizuho Athletics Stadium. In the table, Nagoya Grampus are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (in the drop zone) with 21.
Current form
Nagoya Grampus, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cerezo Osaka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over V-varen Nagasaki, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Nagoya Grampus, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Avispa Fukuoka.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Avispa Fukuoka 1–5 Nagoya Grampus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nagoya Grampus 1.8 xG, Avispa Fukuoka 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nagoya Grampus 55%, draw 25%, Avispa Fukuoka 20%.
Lower-risk option: Nagoya Grampus or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nagoya Grampus or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nagoya Grampus55%fair 1.82 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Avispa Fukuoka20%fair 4.98 · @4.00
2.74Expected goals
1.77Nagoya Grampus xG
0.97Avispa Fukuoka xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.8 – 1.0 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Nagoya Grampus or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avispa Fukuoka 20%.
How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagoya Mizuho Athletics Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mito Hollyhock2
Kashiwa Reysol0