Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 1.70 – our chance 67% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓67% · @1.70
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 24 April the J1 League brings FC Tokyo against Mito Hollyhock at Ajinomoto Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, FC Tokyo are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Mito Hollyhock are 9th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Tokyo, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Yokohama F. Marinos, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Mito Hollyhock, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kashiwa Reysol, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.4 for Mito Hollyhock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tokyo 2.2 xG, Mito Hollyhock 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tokyo 67%, draw 21%, Mito Hollyhock 12%.
Lower-risk option: FC Tokyo or draw (88%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: FC Tokyo to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 67%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tokyo 2–0 Mito Hollyhock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tokyo67%fair 1.49 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.55
Mito Hollyhock12%fair 8.28 · @5.00
2.85Expected goals
2.19FC Tokyo xG
0.66Mito Hollyhock xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 2.2 – 0.7 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✓
67%
1.49
1.70 ▲
Double chance
FC Tokyo or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Tokyo (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
FC Tokyo -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.08
First team to score
FC Tokyo to score first
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
FC Tokyo – last 6
WWWWLW
11 Apr
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
3–1
W
1 Apr
@ Machida Zelvia
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock – last 5
WLWLD
19 Apr
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mito Hollyhock 12%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 2–0 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
