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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kashiwa Reysol v Kashima: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
0–1
FT

Kashima

WWWWW
Kashiwa Reysol 41%Draw 25%Kashima 34% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.32
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: Kashima to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kashiwa Reysol welcome Kashima to Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Friday 24 April (11:00 WAT). In the table, Kashiwa Reysol are 8th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 18 matches; Kashima are 1st (leading the league) with 45. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mito Hollyhock, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Kashima, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Urawa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Kashiwa Reysol.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Kashima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kashiwa Reysol 1.5 xG, Kashima 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kashiwa Reysol 41%, draw 25%, Kashima 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Kashima to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kashiwa Reysol41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.30
Kashima34%fair 2.97 · @3.20
2.83Expected goals
1.50Kashiwa Reysol xG
1.32Kashima xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 1.5 – 1.3 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗41%2.422.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.73
Draw no betKashiwa Reysol (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapKashima +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.982.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.09
First team to scoreKashiwa Reysol to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.29–

Recent results

Kashiwa Reysol – last 6

LLWWLL
19 Apr@ Mito Hollyhock0–2L
11 Apr@ Machida Zelvia0–1L
5 Aprvs Yokohama F. Marinos3–0W
22 Marvs Mito Hollyhock3–0W
14 Marvs Machida Zelvia0–1L
7 Mar@ JEF United Chiba1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kashima – last 6

WWWWWW
18 Aprvs Urawa1–0W
12 Apr@ Kawasaki Frontale2–0W
22 Marvs JEF United Chiba2–1W
18 Mar@ Machida Zelvia3–0W
14 Marvs Kawasaki Frontale1–0W
7 Marvs Tokyo Verdy2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Kashima v Kashiwa Reysol2–0
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?

On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashima 34%.

How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?

Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.