Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTokyo Verdy to win ✓37% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.52
Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 16 May the J1 League brings Mito Hollyhock against Tokyo Verdy at K's Denki Stadium Mito. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Mito Hollyhock are 9th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 18 matches; Tokyo Verdy are 5th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
Mito Hollyhock, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Urawa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Tokyo Verdy, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Tokyo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tokyo Verdy, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mito Hollyhock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mito Hollyhock 1.2 xG, Tokyo Verdy 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mito Hollyhock 35%, draw 29%, Tokyo Verdy 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mito Hollyhock 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mito Hollyhock35%fair 2.90 · @2.80
Draw29%fair 3.51 · @3.00
Tokyo Verdy37%fair 2.71 · @2.62
2.46Expected goals
1.22Mito Hollyhock xG
1.24Tokyo Verdy xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.2 – 1.2 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tokyo Verdy to win✓
37%
2.71
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Tokyo Verdy (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Mito Hollyhock +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.04
First team to score
Tokyo Verdy to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tokyo Verdy / FT Tokyo Verdy✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.52
–
Recent results
Mito Hollyhock – last 6
LLLWLW
9 May
vs Urawa
1–4
L
6 May
@ Kashima
0–3
L
24 Apr
@ FC Tokyo
2–5
L
19 Apr
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
LLWWWL
10 May
@ FC Tokyo
1–2
L
6 May
@ Kawasaki Frontale
0–1
L
3 May
vs Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Kashima
2–1
W
18 Apr
vs JEF United Chiba
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ JEF United Chiba
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tokyo Verdy 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
