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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yokohama F. Marinos v Kashiwa Reysol: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Nissan Stadium
Yokohama F. Marinos 35%Draw 25%Kashiwa Reysol 40% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.45
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Yokohama F. Marinos welcome Kashiwa Reysol to Nissan Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 16 May (09:00 WAT). In the table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; Kashiwa Reysol are 8th (in the drop zone) with 20. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Machida Zelvia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kawasaki Frontale, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Yokohama F. Marinos, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Kashiwa Reysol.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Kashiwa Reysol 3–0 Yokohama F. Marinos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yokohama F. Marinos 1.4 xG, Kashiwa Reysol 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yokohama F. Marinos 35%, draw 25%, Kashiwa Reysol 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yokohama F. Marinos35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Kashiwa Reysol40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
2.83Expected goals
1.38Yokohama F. Marinos xG
1.45Kashiwa Reysol xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.4 – 1.5 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓40%2.502.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.73
Draw no betKashiwa Reysol (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapYokohama F. Marinos +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.982.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.10
First team to scoreKashiwa Reysol to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol ✓23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.68–

Recent results

Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6

LWWLLL
6 May@ Machida Zelvia0–2L
29 Apr@ JEF United Chiba3–2W
25 Apr@ Urawa3–2W
18 Aprvs Kawasaki Frontale1–2L
11 Aprvs FC Tokyo1–3L
5 Apr@ Kashiwa Reysol0–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kashiwa Reysol – last 6

WLLLLL
10 Mayvs Kawasaki Frontale1–0W
6 Mayvs Urawa0–1L
3 May@ Tokyo Verdy0–1L
29 Aprvs FC Tokyo1–3L
24 Aprvs Kashima0–1L
19 Apr@ Mito Hollyhock0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Kashiwa Reysol v Yokohama F. Marinos3–0
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashiwa Reysol 40%.

How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.