Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.19
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Primera Division brings Alianza against Fuerte San Francisco. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; Fuerte San Francisco are 12th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alianza, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Zacatecoluca, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Fuerte San Francisco, last 4: LDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Águila, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Alianza, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Fuerte San Francisco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.8 xG, Fuerte San Francisco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 63%, draw 22%, Fuerte San Francisco 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 2–0 Fuerte San Francisco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza63%fair 1.58 · @1.28
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.33
Fuerte San Francisco14%fair 6.91 · @12.00
2.70Expected goals
1.82Alianza xG
0.88Fuerte San Francisco xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.8 – 0.9 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza
Fuerte San Francisco
Attack vs Primera Division average
-1%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.76
1.06
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✓
63%
1.58
1.28
Double chance
Alianza or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.45
Draw no bet
Alianza (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Fuerte San Francisco +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Alianza to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Alianza ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.19
–
Recent results
Alianza – last 4
WWWL
1 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Municipal Limeño
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Águila
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ FAS
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fuerte San Francisco – last 4
LDDL
26 Feb
vs Águila
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Zacatecoluca
2–2
D
18 Feb
@ Platense
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Municipal Limeño
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Fuerte San Francisco.
What is the prediction for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Alianza have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fuerte San Francisco 14%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Alianza 2–0 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zacatecoluca0
Hércules1