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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Firpo v Águila: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador

Firpo

LWWLW
0–0
–
Firpo 46%Draw 25%Águila 29% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.18
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultFirpo to win46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.52

Firpo vs Águila: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Águila travel to face Firpo on Sunday 8 March in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Firpo are 1st, leading the league, on 40 points after 20 matches; Águila are 4th (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Firpo, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FAS, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Águila, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fuerte San Francisco, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Firpo 1.7 xG, Águila 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Firpo 46%, draw 25%, Águila 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Firpo 1–1 Águila. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Firpo46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
Águila29%fair 3.40 · @2.95
2.85Expected goals
1.66Firpo xG
1.18Águila xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Firpo 1.7 – 1.2 Águila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FirpoÁguila
Attack vs Primera Division average+20%+34%
Goals conceded vs average-33%+3%
Our expected goals here1.801.12

Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFirpo to win46%2.192.20
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.681.65
Draw no betFirpo (draw no bet)61%1.64–
Asian handicapÁguila +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.921.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.19–
First team to scoreFirpo to score first55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Firpo / FT Firpo29%3.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.52–

Recent results

Firpo – last 5

LWWLW
1 Mar@ FAS0–2L
25 Feb@ Cacahuatique1–0W
22 Febvs Hércules3–2W
19 Feb@ Isidro Metapán0–1L
15 Febvs Platense3–1W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Águila – last 3

WWL
26 Feb@ Fuerte San Francisco1–0W
22 Feb@ Inter1–0W
19 Febvs Alianza0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Águila.

Firpo vs Águila head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Firpo vs Águila?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Firpo vs Águila?

On our numbers Firpo have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Águila 29%.

How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Águila?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Águila?

Our predicted score is Firpo 1–1 Águila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Firpo vs Águila?

Firpo vs Águila (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.