Value bet: FAS to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultÁguila to win38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.89
Águila vs FAS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Primera Division brings Águila against FAS. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Águila are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 19 matches; FAS are 2nd (among the top four) with 33. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Águila, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hércules, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FAS, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Fuerte San Francisco, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FAS, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Águila.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Águila 1.4 xG, FAS 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Águila 38%, draw 26%, FAS 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: FAS to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águila 1–1 FAS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Águila38%fair 2.67 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.95
FAS36%fair 2.78 · @3.10
2.86Expected goals
1.44Águila xG
1.42FAS xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Águila 1.4 – 1.4 FAS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Águila
FAS
Attack vs Primera Division average
+34%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.52
1.53
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águila to win
38%
2.67
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.70
Draw no bet
Águila (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
FAS +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Águila to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águila / FT Águila
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Águila – last 5
WDWWL
26 Mar
@ Hércules
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Fuerte San Francisco
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Inter
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Alianza
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
FAS – last 6
WWWWWW
23 Mar
vs Fuerte San Francisco
3–1
W
19 Mar
vs Hércules
4–0
W
15 Mar
@ Isidro Metapán
3–0
W
9 Mar
@ Platense
3–2
W
1 Mar
vs Firpo
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Cacahuatique
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águila and FAS.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Águila vs FAS?
On our numbers Águila have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FAS 36%.
How many goals will there be in Águila vs FAS?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águila vs FAS?
Our predicted score is Águila 1–1 FAS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Águila vs FAS?
Águila vs FAS (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zacatecoluca2
Hércules0