Alianza vs Platense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza welcome Platense for a Primera Division fixture on Sunday 29 March (02:00 WAT). In the table, Alianza are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; Platense are 6th (upper half) with 27. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alianza, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cacahuatique, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Platense, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Municipal Limeño, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alianza, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Platense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.7 xG, Platense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 59%, draw 23%, Platense 18%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 Platense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza59%fair 1.69 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.00
Platense18%fair 5.61 · @7.20
2.68Expected goals
1.69Alianza xG
0.99Platense xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.7 – 1.0 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza
Platense
Attack vs Primera Division average
-1%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+0%
Our expected goals here
1.45
1.12
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✗
59%
1.69
1.40
Double chance
Alianza or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.93
Draw no bet
Alianza (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Platense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Alianza to score first
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Alianza – last 6
WLDWWW
19 Mar
vs Cacahuatique
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Inter
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Fuerte San Francisco
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Municipal Limeño
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Platense – last 6
LLLDDL
19 Mar
@ Municipal Limeño
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Municipal Limeño
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs FAS
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Fuerte San Francisco
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Firpo
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Platense.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Alianza vs Platense?
On our numbers Alianza have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Platense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Platense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Platense?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Platense?
Alianza vs Platense (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zacatecoluca2
Hércules0