Municipal Limeño vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Primera Division brings Municipal Limeño against Alianza. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Municipal Limeño are 8th, lower half, on 23 points after 20 matches; Alianza are 7th (lower half) with 26. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Municipal Limeño, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Zacatecoluca, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Alianza, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Águila, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Alianza 1–0 Municipal Limeño.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal Limeño 1.4 xG, Alianza 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal Limeño 37%, draw 26%, Alianza 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal Limeño 1–1 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal Limeño37%fair 2.68 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @2.95
Alianza36%fair 2.75 · @2.55
2.79Expected goals
1.44Municipal Limeño xG
1.35Alianza xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Municipal Limeño 1.4 – 1.3 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Municipal Limeño
Alianza
Attack vs Primera Division average
+16%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.67
1.44
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?
On our numbers Municipal Limeño have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Alianza 36%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is Municipal Limeño 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?
Municipal Limeño vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.