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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zacatecoluca v Fuerte San Francisco: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador
Zacatecoluca 40%Draw 26%Fuerte San Francisco 34% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.24
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
1

Value bet: Zacatecoluca to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultZacatecoluca to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fuerte San Francisco travel to face Zacatecoluca on Sunday 19 April in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.

Current form

Zacatecoluca, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Municipal Limeño, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Platense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Fuerte San Francisco 2–2 Zacatecoluca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zacatecoluca 1.5 xG, Fuerte San Francisco 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zacatecoluca 40%, draw 26%, Fuerte San Francisco 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Zacatecoluca to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zacatecoluca 1–1 Fuerte San Francisco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zacatecoluca40%fair 2.51 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.00
Fuerte San Francisco34%fair 2.92 · @2.45
2.72Expected goals
1.48Zacatecoluca xG
1.24Fuerte San Francisco xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Zacatecoluca 1.5 – 1.2 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ZacatecolucaFuerte San Francisco
Attack vs Primera Division average-2%-14%
Goals conceded vs average+18%+21%
Our expected goals here1.751.26

Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZacatecoluca to win ✓40%2.512.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.70
Draw no betZacatecoluca (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapFuerte San Francisco +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreZacatecoluca to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zacatecoluca / FT Zacatecoluca ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.15–

Recent results

Zacatecoluca – last 6

LLLDLD
16 Aprvs Municipal Limeño3–4L
8 Aprvs Inter0–4L
1 Apr@ Hércules0–2L
29 Marvs Isidro Metapán2–2D
20 Marvs Firpo1–3L
13 Marvs Alianza3–3D
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Fuerte San Francisco – last 6

DDDLDL
15 Aprvs Platense1–1D
9 Apr@ Platense1–1D
1 Apr@ Águila1–1D
23 Mar@ FAS1–3L
18 Marvs Inter0–0D
8 Mar@ Alianza2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Fuerte San Francisco v Zacatecoluca2–2
Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco?

On our numbers Zacatecoluca have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fuerte San Francisco 34%.

How many goals will there be in Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Our predicted score is Zacatecoluca 1–1 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Zacatecoluca vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.