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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza v Zacatecoluca: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador

Alianza

DDLLW
4–2
FT
Alianza 59%Draw 23%Zacatecoluca 19% Expected goals 1.78 – 1.03
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlianza to win ✓59% · @1.48
Double chanceAlianza or draw ✓81% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Alianza vs Zacatecoluca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alianza welcome Zacatecoluca for a Primera Division fixture on Sunday 26 April (02:00 WAT).

Current form

Alianza, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Isidro Metapán, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Zacatecoluca, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Inter, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Alianza, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Zacatecoluca.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Zacatecoluca 3–3 Alianza. The last 2 head-to-heads: Alianza 1 win, Zacatecoluca 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.8 xG, Zacatecoluca 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 59%, draw 23%, Zacatecoluca 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 Zacatecoluca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza59%fair 1.70 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.00
Zacatecoluca19%fair 5.40 · @5.80
2.81Expected goals
1.78Alianza xG
1.03Zacatecoluca xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
0–06%

From our goals model: Alianza 1.8 – 1.0 Zacatecoluca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AlianzaZacatecoluca
Attack vs Primera Division average-1%-2%
Goals conceded vs average-1%+18%
Our expected goals here1.711.21

Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlianza to win ✓59%1.701.48
Double chanceAlianza or draw ✓81%1.231.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.73
Draw no betAlianza (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapZacatecoluca +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
First team to scoreAlianza to score first59%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alianza / FT Alianza ✓34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Alianza – last 6

DDLLWW
22 Apr@ Isidro Metapán1–1D
19 Apr@ Municipal Limeño0–0D
16 Aprvs Águila0–2L
12 Aprvs FAS0–2L
8 Aprvs Isidro Metapán3–1W
5 Aprvs Hércules3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Zacatecoluca – last 6

LWLLLD
23 Apr@ Inter1–2L
19 Aprvs Fuerte San Francisco1–0W
16 Aprvs Municipal Limeño3–4L
8 Aprvs Inter0–4L
1 Apr@ Hércules0–2L
29 Marvs Isidro Metapán2–2D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Zacatecoluca v Alianza3–3
1 Mar 2026Zacatecoluca v Alianza0–2
Alianza vs Zacatecoluca head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza vs Zacatecoluca?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alianza vs Zacatecoluca?

On our numbers Alianza have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zacatecoluca 19%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Zacatecoluca?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Zacatecoluca?

Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Zacatecoluca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Alianza vs Zacatecoluca?

Alianza vs Zacatecoluca (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.