Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Primera Division brings Isidro Metapán against Fuerte San Francisco. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Isidro Metapán are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 19 matches; Fuerte San Francisco are 12th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Isidro Metapán, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alianza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Platense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Isidro Metapán 1.7 xG, Fuerte San Francisco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Isidro Metapán 57%, draw 25%, Fuerte San Francisco 18%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Isidro Metapán 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Isidro Metapán57%fair 1.74 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.55
Fuerte San Francisco18%fair 5.71 · @5.20
2.52Expected goals
1.66Isidro Metapán xG
0.86Fuerte San Francisco xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Isidro Metapán 1.7 – 0.9 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Isidro Metapán
Fuerte San Francisco
Attack vs Primera Division average
-10%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.59
0.91
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Isidro Metapán to win✗
57%
1.74
1.60
Double chance
Isidro Metapán or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.91
Draw no bet
Isidro Metapán (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Fuerte San Francisco +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Isidro Metapán to score first✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Isidro Metapán / FT Isidro Metapán✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Isidro Metapán – last 6
DLWDLL
22 Apr
vs Alianza
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Platense
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Firpo
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Cacahuatique
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Alianza
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Inter
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fuerte San Francisco – last 6
WLDDDL
21 Apr
vs Platense
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Zacatecoluca
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Platense
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Platense
1–1
D
1 Apr
@ Águila
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ FAS
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Isidro Metapán and Fuerte San Francisco.
What is the prediction for Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Isidro Metapán have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fuerte San Francisco 18%.
How many goals will there be in Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Isidro Metapán 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Isidro Metapán vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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