Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗59% · @1.58
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✗83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio NU: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 February the Division Profesional Apertura brings Libertad Asuncion against Rubio NU at Estadio Tigo La Huerta. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.8 xG, Rubio NU 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 59%, draw 24%, Rubio NU 17%.
Lower-risk option: Libertad Asuncion or draw (83%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Rubio NU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad Asuncion59%fair 1.69 · @1.58
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.60
Rubio NU17%fair 5.99 · @4.75
2.62Expected goals
1.77Libertad Asuncion xG
0.85Rubio NU xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.8 – 0.8 Rubio NU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✗
59%
1.69
1.58
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Libertad Asuncion (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Rubio NU +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Libertad Asuncion to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Libertad Asuncion ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Libertad Asuncion
No recent results on record.
Rubio NU
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Rubio NU.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio NU?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio NU?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rubio NU 17%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio NU?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio NU?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Rubio NU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio NU?
Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio NU (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Nacional Asuncion1
Sportivo Ameliano1