Nacional Asuncion v Sportivo Ameliano Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✗56% · @1.94

Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓82% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Friday 20 February: Nacional Asuncion v Sportivo Ameliano in the Division Profesional Apertura, played at Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nacional Asuncion 1.7 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional Asuncion 56%, draw 26%, Sportivo Ameliano 18%.
Lower-risk option: Nacional Asuncion or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Nacional Asuncion to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nacional Asuncion or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nacional Asuncion56%fair 1.79 · @1.94

Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.15

Sportivo Ameliano18%fair 5.54 · @3.85

2.41Expected goals

1.66Nacional Asuncion xG

0.75Sportivo Ameliano xG

55%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–012%

1–111%

2–19%

0–09%

3–07%

From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.7 – 0.8 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nacional Asuncion to win ✗	56%	1.79	1.94 ▲
Double chance	Nacional Asuncion or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	1.85
Draw no bet	Nacional Asuncion (draw no bet)	76%	1.32	–
Asian handicap	Sportivo Ameliano +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.77	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Nacional Asuncion to score first	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion ✗	37%	2.74	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.77	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nacional Asuncion and Sportivo Ameliano.

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Our pick is Nacional Asuncion or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Ameliano 18%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Nacional Asuncion v Sportivo Ameliano: numbers & prediction