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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olimpia v Sportivo Luqueno: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb

Olimpia

WW
1–0
FT

Sportivo Luqueno

DLLDW
Olimpia 60%Draw 23%Sportivo Luqueno 17% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.82
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOlimpia to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Luqueno travel to face Olimpia on Wednesday 18 March in the Division Profesional Apertura, with Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT.

Current form

Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Sp. San Lorenzo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia 1.9 xG, Sportivo Luqueno 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia 60%, draw 23%, Sportivo Luqueno 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Olimpia or draw (83%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Olimpia to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olimpia60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.40
Sportivo Luqueno17%fair 6.02 · @4.20
2.73Expected goals
1.91Olimpia xG
0.82Sportivo Luqueno xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Olimpia 1.9 – 0.8 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpia to win ✓60%1.661.80 ▲
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓83%1.201.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.80
Draw no betOlimpia (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapOlimpia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreOlimpia to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultOlimpia ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olimpia / FT Olimpia ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

Olimpia – last 2

WW
5 Mar@ Sportivo Trinidense1–0W
26 Febvs Libertad Asuncion1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Sportivo Luqueno – last 5

DLLDW
13 Marvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–1D
8 Mar@ Libertad Asuncion0–1L
2 Marvs Rubio NU0–1L
26 Feb@ Sportivo Trinidense1–1D
23 Febvs Club Guarani3–2W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Olimpia and Sportivo Luqueno.

Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

FT Rubio NU2 Cerro Porteno0 120%4.30X27%3.30253%1.80 0.8–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

On our numbers Olimpia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sportivo Luqueno 17%.

How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our predicted score is Olimpia 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.