Rubio NU 20%Draw 27%Cerro Porteno 53%Expected goals 0.85 – 1.46
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✗53% · @1.80
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✗80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rubio NU welcome Cerro Porteno to Estadio La Arboleda for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Wednesday 18 March (22:30 WAT).
Current form
Rubio NU, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to 2 de Mayo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cerro Porteno, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sportivo Trinidense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rubio NU 0.8 xG, Cerro Porteno 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rubio NU 20%, draw 27%, Cerro Porteno 53%.
Lower-risk option: Cerro Porteno or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubio NU 0–1 Cerro Porteno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rubio NU20%fair 5.11 · @4.30
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.30
Cerro Porteno53%fair 1.87 · @1.80
2.30Expected goals
0.85Rubio NU xG
1.46Cerro Porteno xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Rubio NU 0.8 – 1.5 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Double chance
Cerro Porteno or draw✗
80%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.91
Draw no bet
Cerro Porteno (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Rubio NU +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Cerro Porteno to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Rubio NU – last 4
LWWW
9 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cerro Porteno – last 4
WWWL
15 Mar
vs Sportivo Trinidense
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Sportivo Ameliano
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubio NU and Cerro Porteno.
What is the prediction for Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Rubio NU have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cerro Porteno 53%.
How many goals will there be in Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Rubio NU 0–1 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno?
Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Arboleda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio La Arboleda
Olimpia1
Sportivo Luqueno0