Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Libertad Asuncion to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓37% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.13
Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Libertad Asuncion v Cerro Porteno in the Division Profesional Apertura, played at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Current form
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nacional Asuncion, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cerro Porteno, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rubio NU, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.2 xG, Cerro Porteno 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 35%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Libertad Asuncion to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Cerro Porteno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad Asuncion35%fair 2.88 · @3.05
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.98
Cerro Porteno37%fair 2.70 · @2.34
2.32Expected goals
1.17Libertad Asuncion xG
1.15Cerro Porteno xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.2 – 1.2 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✓
37%
2.70
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Cerro Porteno (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Porteno +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Libertad Asuncion to score first
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.13
–
Recent results
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
WWWWLL
19 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7–0
W
26 Feb
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cerro Porteno – last 5
LWWWL
18 Mar
@ Rubio NU
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sportivo Trinidense
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Sportivo Ameliano
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Cerro Porteno.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cerro Porteno 37%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion