Value bet: 2 de Mayo to win @ 3.45 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Luqueno to win ✗41% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02
Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sportivo Luqueno welcome 2 de Mayo to Estadio Feliciano Caceres for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Monday 23 March (00:30 WAT).
Current form
Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olimpia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
2 de Mayo, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Sp. San Lorenzo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Luqueno 1.3 xG, 2 de Mayo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Luqueno 41%, draw 27%, 2 de Mayo 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: 2 de Mayo to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 2 de Mayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Luqueno41%fair 2.41 · @2.08
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.10
2 de Mayo32%fair 3.16 · @3.45
2.38Expected goals
1.28Sportivo Luqueno xG
1.102 de Mayo xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 1.3 – 1.1 2 de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Luqueno to win✗
41%
2.41
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Sportivo Luqueno (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
2 de Mayo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Sportivo Luqueno to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Luqueno / FT Sportivo Luqueno✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
Sportivo Luqueno – last 6
LDLLDW
18 Mar
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Libertad Asuncion
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Club Guarani
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
2 de Mayo – last 6
DLWWLD
17 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Rubio NU
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Sportivo Trinidense
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Deportivo Recoleta
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Sporting Cristal
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Luqueno and 2 de Mayo.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo?
On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and 2 de Mayo 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 2 de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo?
Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Feliciano Caceres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.