Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Monday 23 March: Sportivo Trinidense v Deportivo Recoleta in the Division Profesional Apertura, played at Estadio Martin Torres.
Current form
Sportivo Trinidense, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Ameliano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Club Guarani, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Recoleta, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Sportivo Trinidense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Trinidense 1.6 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Trinidense 49%, draw 25%, Deportivo Recoleta 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Trinidense49%fair 2.06 · @2.08
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.15
Deportivo Recoleta27%fair 3.77 · @3.45
2.63Expected goals
1.59Sportivo Trinidense xG
1.04Deportivo Recoleta xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.6 – 1.0 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Trinidense to win✓
49%
2.06
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
Sportivo Trinidense (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Recoleta +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sportivo Trinidense to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Trinidense / FT Sportivo Trinidense✓
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Sportivo Trinidense – last 6
DLDLLD
20 Mar
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Olimpia
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Deportivo Recoleta – last 5
LDLDW
19 Mar
@ Club Guarani
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
27 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Trinidense and Deportivo Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Recoleta 27%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Martin Torres
Sportivo Luqueno0
2 de Mayo2