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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Club Sp. San Lorenzo v Sportivo Ameliano: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

LDDLL
1–2
FT

Sportivo Ameliano

WWDDD
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 28%Draw 27%Sportivo Ameliano 45% Expected goals 1.00 – 1.36
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✓45% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.44

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Ameliano travel to face Club Sp. San Lorenzo on Wednesday 1 April in the Division Profesional Apertura – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT.

Current form

Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cerro Porteno, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Libertad Asuncion, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sportivo Ameliano, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.0 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Sp. San Lorenzo 28%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Sp. San Lorenzo28%fair 3.60 · @3.25
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.15
Sportivo Ameliano45%fair 2.20 · @2.16
2.36Expected goals
1.00Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.36Sportivo Ameliano xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%

From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.0 – 1.4 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSportivo Ameliano to win ✓45%2.202.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.83
Draw no betSportivo Ameliano (draw no bet) ✓62%1.61–
Asian handicapClub Sp. San Lorenzo +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSportivo Ameliano to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sportivo Ameliano / FT Sportivo Ameliano ✓26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.44–

Recent results

Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 6

LDDLLD
29 Mar@ Cerro Porteno0–2L
17 Marvs 2 de Mayo1–1D
13 Mar@ Sportivo Luqueno1–1D
3 Marvs Libertad Asuncion0–7L
26 Feb@ Rubio NU0–2L
19 Febvs Sportivo Trinidense1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sportivo Ameliano – last 6

WWDDDL
28 Marvs Libertad Asuncion2–0W
24 Mar@ Rubio NU2–1W
20 Mar@ Sportivo Trinidense1–1D
16 Marvs Club Guarani0–0D
10 Mar@ Deportivo Recoleta1–1D
25 Febvs Cerro Porteno0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Sportivo Ameliano.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

FT Sportivo Luqueno2 Cerro Porteno3 125%3.90X25%3.30250%1.88 1.0–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✗
FT Rubio NU0 Club Guarani2 128%3.20X27%3.15245%2.16 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sportivo Ameliano 45%.

How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.