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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sportivo Ameliano v Deportivo Recoleta: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Ameliano Villeta

Sportivo Ameliano

DDDWW
3–2
FT

Deportivo Recoleta

DWDWD
Sportivo Ameliano 43%Draw 26%Deportivo Recoleta 32% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.20
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✓43% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24

Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Ameliano welcome Deportivo Recoleta to Estadio Ameliano Villeta for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Monday 11 May (21:45 WAT).

Current form

Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olimpia, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Ameliano 1.4 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Ameliano 43%, draw 26%, Deportivo Recoleta 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Ameliano43%fair 2.35 · @2.12
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.25
Deportivo Recoleta32%fair 3.14 · @3.25
2.64Expected goals
1.44Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.20Deportivo Recoleta xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
2–07%
1–27%

From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 1.4 – 1.2 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSportivo Ameliano to win ✓43%2.352.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.70
Draw no betSportivo Ameliano (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapDeportivo Recoleta +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.941.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.381.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreSportivo Ameliano to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sportivo Ameliano / FT Sportivo Ameliano ✓25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.24–

Recent results

Sportivo Ameliano – last 6

DDDWWW
3 May@ Olimpia1–1D
25 Apr@ Cerro Porteno1–1D
21 Aprvs Nacional Asuncion1–1D
10 Apr@ 2 de Mayo2–1W
1 Apr@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–1W
28 Marvs Libertad Asuncion2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Recoleta – last 6

DWDWDD
6 Mayvs Santos1–1D
3 Mayvs Cerro Porteno2–1W
29 Aprvs Deportivo Cuenca0–0D
19 Aprvs 2 de Mayo5–0W
15 Apr@ Santos1–1D
8 Aprvs San Lorenzo1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Mar 2026Deportivo Recoleta v Sportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

FT Sportivo Luqueno2 Libertad Asuncion3 129%3.40X27%3.00244%2.15 1.2–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.85 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Recoleta 32%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ameliano Villeta.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.