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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sportivo Luqueno v Libertad Asuncion: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio

Sportivo Luqueno

DLLLL
2–3
FT

Libertad Asuncion

LWLWL
Sportivo Luqueno 29%Draw 27%Libertad Asuncion 44% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.51
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 11 May the Division Profesional Apertura brings Sportivo Luqueno against Libertad Asuncion at Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rubio NU, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rosario Central, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Libertad Asuncion, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Sportivo Luqueno.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Luqueno 1.2 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Luqueno 29%, draw 27%, Libertad Asuncion 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Luqueno29%fair 3.41 · @3.40
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.00
Libertad Asuncion44%fair 2.28 · @2.15
2.71Expected goals
1.20Sportivo Luqueno xG
1.51Libertad Asuncion xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 1.2 – 1.5 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓44%2.282.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.85
Draw no betLibertad Asuncion (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapSportivo Luqueno +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
First team to scoreLibertad Asuncion to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.98–

Recent results

Sportivo Luqueno – last 6

DLLLLD
3 May@ Rubio NU0–0D
1 Aprvs Cerro Porteno2–3L
27 Mar@ Nacional Asuncion2–3L
23 Marvs 2 de Mayo0–2L
18 Mar@ Olimpia0–1L
13 Marvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

LWLWLL
5 May@ Rosario Central0–1L
2 Mayvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo5–0W
28 Aprvs Independiente del Valle2–3L
26 Aprvs Olimpia3–2W
20 Apr@ Rubio NU0–3L
15 Aprvs Rosario Central0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Luqueno1–0
Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

FT Sportivo Ameliano3 Deportivo Recoleta2 143%2.12X26%3.25232%3.25 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Libertad Asuncion 44%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.