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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerro Porteno v Rubio NU: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno

WDWLD
2–0
FT

Rubio NU

DWWLL
Cerro Porteno 60%Draw 23%Rubio NU 17% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.75
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓60% · @1.52
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72

Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Cerro Porteno v Rubio NU in the Division Profesional Apertura, played at General Pablo Rojas.

Current form

Cerro Porteno, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Palmeiras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Rubio NU, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sportivo Luqueno, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Rubio NU 2–0 Cerro Porteno.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Porteno 1.7 xG, Rubio NU 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Porteno 60%, draw 23%, Rubio NU 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Porteno 1–0 Rubio NU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerro Porteno60%fair 1.66 · @1.52
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.65
Rubio NU17%fair 5.87 · @6.20
2.43Expected goals
1.68Cerro Porteno xG
0.75Rubio NU xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.7 – 0.8 Rubio NU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerro Porteno to win ✓60%1.661.52
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓83%1.211.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.10 ▲
Draw no betCerro Porteno (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapRubio NU +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCerro Porteno to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno ✓37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.72–

Recent results

Cerro Porteno – last 6

WDWLDD
21 May@ Palmeiras1–0W
12 Mayvs Club Guarani0–0D
8 May@ Junior1–0W
3 May@ Deportivo Recoleta1–2L
30 Aprvs Palmeiras1–1D
25 Aprvs Sportivo Ameliano1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Rubio NU – last 6

DWWLLL
3 Mayvs Sportivo Luqueno0–0D
27 Apr@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–0W
20 Aprvs Libertad Asuncion3–0W
7 Apr@ Sportivo Trinidense0–4L
1 Aprvs Club Guarani0–2L
27 Mar@ Deportivo Recoleta0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Rubio NU v Cerro Porteno2–0
Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

FT Sportivo Ameliano1 Sportivo Trinidense2 136%2.58X26%3.15238%2.62 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Nacional Asuncion2 Libertad Asuncion1 148%2.06X26%3.25226%3.40 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU?

On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rubio NU 17%.

How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU?

Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–0 Rubio NU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU?

Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at General Pablo Rojas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.