Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nacional Asuncion v Libertad Asuncion: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Arsenio Erico

Nacional Asuncion

WWDDD
2–1
FT

Libertad Asuncion

LDWLW
Nacional Asuncion 48%Draw 26%Libertad Asuncion 26% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.90
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✓48% · @2.06
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.88

Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nacional Asuncion welcome Libertad Asuncion to Estadio Arsenio Erico for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Sunday 24 May (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Nacional Asuncion, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sportivo Trinidense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Independiente del Valle, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nacional Asuncion, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Libertad Asuncion.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 2–1 Nacional Asuncion.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nacional Asuncion 1.5 xG, Libertad Asuncion 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional Asuncion 48%, draw 26%, Libertad Asuncion 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nacional Asuncion or draw (74%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nacional Asuncion48%fair 2.09 · @2.06
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.25
Libertad Asuncion26%fair 3.86 · @3.40
2.40Expected goals
1.50Nacional Asuncion xG
0.90Libertad Asuncion xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.5 – 0.9 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNacional Asuncion to win ✓48%2.092.06
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.80
Draw no betNacional Asuncion (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapLibertad Asuncion +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreNacional Asuncion to score first57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion ✓31%3.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.88–

Recent results

Nacional Asuncion – last 6

WWDDDW
10 Mayvs Sportivo Trinidense2–1W
4 May@ Club Guarani1–0W
21 Apr@ Sportivo Ameliano1–1D
12 Aprvs Cerro Porteno0–0D
31 Mar@ 2 de Mayo1–1D
27 Marvs Sportivo Luqueno3–2W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

LDWLWL
20 May@ Independiente del Valle1–4L
14 Mayvs 2 de Mayo0–0D
11 May@ Sportivo Luqueno3–2W
5 May@ Rosario Central0–1L
2 Mayvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo5–0W
28 Aprvs Independiente del Valle2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Mar 2026Libertad Asuncion v Nacional Asuncion2–1
Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

FT Sportivo Ameliano1 Sportivo Trinidense2 136%2.58X26%3.15238%2.62 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Cerro Porteno2 Rubio NU0 160%1.52X23%3.65217%6.20 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?

On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Libertad Asuncion 26%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?

Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.