Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Arlanda to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVasalund to win ✗42% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.93
Arlanda vs Vasalund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Ettan Norra brings Arlanda against Vasalund at Midgardsvallen. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Vasalund are 13th (lower half) with 34. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vasalund, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Stocksund, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 2.1 xG, Vasalund 1.7 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 38%, draw 20%, Vasalund 42%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Arlanda to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 2–1 Vasalund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arlanda38%fair 2.61 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.50
Vasalund42%fair 2.37 · @1.83
3.77Expected goals
2.11Arlanda xG
1.66Vasalund xG
67%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: Arlanda 2.1 – 1.7 Vasalund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vasalund to win✗
42%
2.37
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Draw no bet
Vasalund (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Vasalund +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
First team to score
Arlanda to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Arlanda ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✓
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.93
–
Recent results
Arlanda – last 1
D
21 Feb
@ Enköping
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Vasalund – last 5
LWDWW
28 Mar
@ Stocksund
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Enköping
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Hammarby Talang
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Karlberg
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Stocksund
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and Vasalund.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Arlanda vs Vasalund?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vasalund 42%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Vasalund?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Vasalund?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 2–1 Vasalund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Vasalund?
Arlanda vs Vasalund (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
