Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGefle IF to win ✗36% · @2.00
Double chanceGefle IF or draw ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
FBK Karlstad vs Gefle IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FBK Karlstad welcome Gefle IF for a Ettan Norra fixture on Friday 3 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, FBK Karlstad are 6th, upper half, on 49 points after 30 matches; Gefle IF are 9th (lower half) with 41.
Current form
Gefle IF, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to IK brage, away. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FBK Karlstad 1.3 xG, Gefle IF 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FBK Karlstad 29%, draw 35%, Gefle IF 36%.
Lower-risk option: Gefle IF or draw (71%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gefle IF or draw (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBK Karlstad 1–1 Gefle IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FBK Karlstad29%fair 3.46 · @3.00
Draw35%fair 2.82 · @3.30
Gefle IF36%fair 2.81 · @2.00
2.65Expected goals
1.29FBK Karlstad xG
1.36Gefle IF xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 1.3 – 1.4 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gefle IF to win✗
36%
2.81
2.00
Double chance
Gefle IF or draw✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Draw no bet
Gefle IF (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
FBK Karlstad +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Gefle IF to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gefle IF / FT Gefle IF✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
FBK Karlstad – last 2
LW
29 Mar
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 3
LWW
21 Mar
@ IK brage
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Sunnersta
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Lucksta
7–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBK Karlstad and Gefle IF.
What is the prediction for FBK Karlstad vs Gefle IF?
Our pick is Gefle IF or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Gefle IF 36%.
How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 1–1 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FBK Karlstad vs Gefle IF?
FBK Karlstad vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
