Järfälla vs Piteå: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Järfälla welcome Piteå to Jarfallavallen for a Ettan Norra fixture on Sunday 26 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Järfälla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Piteå are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Piteå, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Hammarby Talang, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Järfälla 1.7 xG, Piteå 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Järfälla 43%, draw 23%, Piteå 34%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Järfälla 1–1 Piteå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Järfälla43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Piteå34%fair 2.93 · @2.70
3.20Expected goals
1.69Järfälla xG
1.52Piteå xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Järfälla 1.7 – 1.5 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Järfälla to win
43%
2.34
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
66%
1.51
1.44
Draw no bet
Järfälla (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Piteå +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Järfälla to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Järfälla / FT Järfälla
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Järfälla
No recent results on record.
Piteå – last 3
LLL
19 Apr
vs Hammarby Talang
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Assyriska FF
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ IF Karlstad
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Järfälla and Piteå.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Järfälla vs Piteå?
On our numbers Järfälla have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Piteå 34%.
How many goals will there be in Järfälla vs Piteå?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Järfälla vs Piteå?
Our predicted score is Järfälla 1–1 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Järfälla vs Piteå?
Järfälla vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Jarfallavallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
