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Karlberg v Gefle IF: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Stadshagens IP
3–0
–
Karlberg 37%Draw 26%Gefle IF 37% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.77
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55

6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2

Value bet: Gefle IF to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultKarlberg to win37% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.85

Karlberg vs Gefle IF: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 April the Ettan Norra brings Karlberg against Gefle IF at Stadshagens IP. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Karlberg are 10th, lower half, on 37 points after 30 matches; Gefle IF are 9th (lower half) with 41.

Current form

Karlberg, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Assyriska FF, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Gefle IF, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FBK Karlstad, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karlberg 1.6 xG, Gefle IF 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Karlberg 37%, draw 26%, Gefle IF 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Gefle IF to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karlberg 1–1 Gefle IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karlberg37%fair 2.68 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
Gefle IF37%fair 2.71 · @2.90
3.36Expected goals
1.59Karlberg xG
1.77Gefle IF xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Karlberg 1.6 – 1.8 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKarlberg to win37%2.682.15
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.351.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score65%1.541.55
Draw no betKarlberg (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapKarlberg +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals65%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals75%1.33–
First team to scoreGefle IF to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gefle IF / FT Gefle IF26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.85–

Recent results

Karlberg – last 5

WLLWL
19 Apr@ Assyriska FF4–3W
10 Aprvs Enköping1–3L
28 Mar@ Stockholm Internazionale0–1L
22 Mar@ Hammarby Talang3–0W
22 Feb@ Vasalund2–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Gefle IF – last 4

LLWW
3 Apr@ FBK Karlstad1–2L
21 Mar@ IK brage0–1L
7 Marvs Sunnersta3–2W
21 Febvs Lucksta7–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Karlberg and Gefle IF.

Karlberg vs Gefle IF head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karlberg vs Gefle IF?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Karlberg vs Gefle IF?

On our numbers Karlberg have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gefle IF 37%.

How many goals will there be in Karlberg vs Gefle IF?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs Gefle IF?

Our predicted score is Karlberg 1–1 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Karlberg vs Gefle IF?

Karlberg vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadshagens IP.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.