Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultArlanda to win ✓54% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.39
Piteå vs Arlanda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Piteå welcome Arlanda to LF Arena for a Ettan Norra fixture on Sunday 3 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Piteå are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Arlanda are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Piteå, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Hammarby Talang, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Arlanda, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Enköping, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Arlanda, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.0 for Piteå.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piteå 1.3 xG, Arlanda 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piteå 24%, draw 22%, Arlanda 54%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piteå 1–1 Arlanda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piteå24%fair 4.20 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.80
Arlanda54%fair 1.84 · @1.73
3.18Expected goals
1.28Piteå xG
1.90Arlanda xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Piteå 1.3 – 1.9 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arlanda to win✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
Arlanda (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Piteå +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Arlanda to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Arlanda ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✓
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Piteå – last 3
LLL
19 Apr
vs Hammarby Talang
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Assyriska FF
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ IF Karlstad
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arlanda – last 4
WWWD
24 Apr
@ Enköping
7–1
W
12 Apr
@ Umeå FC
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Vasalund
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Enköping
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piteå and Arlanda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Piteå vs Arlanda?
On our numbers Piteå have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arlanda 54%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs Arlanda?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs Arlanda?
Our predicted score is Piteå 1–1 Arlanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs Arlanda?
Piteå vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
