Umeå FC 45%Draw 23%Karlberg 32%Expected goals 1.86 – 1.34
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultUmeå FC to win ✓45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.58
Umeå FC vs Karlberg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Karlberg travel to face Umeå FC on Sunday 3 May in the Ettan Norra, with Umea Energi Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Umeå FC are 8th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Karlberg are 10th (lower half) with 37.
Current form
Umeå FC, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Stockholm Internazionale, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Karlberg, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Assyriska FF, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Umeå FC 1.9 xG, Karlberg 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Umeå FC 45%, draw 23%, Karlberg 32%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Umeå FC 1–1 Karlberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Umeå FC45%fair 2.21 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.60
Karlberg32%fair 3.14 · @2.55
3.19Expected goals
1.86Umeå FC xG
1.34Karlberg xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 1.9 – 1.3 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✓
45%
2.21
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Draw no bet
Umeå FC (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Karlberg +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Umeå FC to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Umeå FC ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✓
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Umeå FC – last 4
LLLW
26 Apr
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Vasalund
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Arlanda
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Hammarby Talang
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Karlberg – last 5
WLLWL
19 Apr
@ Assyriska FF
4–3
W
10 Apr
vs Enköping
1–3
L
28 Mar
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Hammarby Talang
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Vasalund
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Umeå FC and Karlberg.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Karlberg?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Karlberg 32%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 1–1 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs Karlberg?
Umeå FC vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
